India should cash in on 'China plus one' strategy - World Bank chief

India has an opportunity to cash in on global companies' efforts to build factories outside China, the new World Bank president said on Wednesday, as firms seek to diversify their supply chains.

His comments follow recent investment announcements by U.S. firms, including chipmaker Micron Technology, in India and come as the United States looks for a strong counterweight to China in Asia amid growing tensions in ties.

In recent years, many companies have adopted a "China Plus One" strategy to build new manufacturing units outside the People's Republic.

India has a window of three-to-five years to seize this opportunity to attract investment, said Ajay Banga, the former Mastercard CEO who became World Bank chief last month.

"I think India's opportunity currently is to cash in on the 'China plus one' opportunity. This opportunity won't stay open for 10 years," Banga told reporters in New Delhi during his first official visit to the country.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi had his first state visit to the United States last month, which coincided with a flurry of investment announcements by U.S. companies in India.

Banga also said that India's growth has been cushioned by domestic consumption in the face of a global slowdown.

The World Bank chief also called for private capital investments to aid global efforts for renewable energy funding. The lender estimates that $1 trillion will be required by 2030 in developing nations for green energy transition to help achieve net-zero targets.

"The facts remains we will need different forms of concessional capital. We will also need different forms of multilateral bank capital and government capital and philanthropy capital to take first risk positions or help enable the blended finance to come through," Banga said.

(Reporting by Nikunj Ohri; Writing by Shivam Patel; Editing by Sharon Singleton)

INDIA'S ELECTRONICS MANUFACTURING AND EXPORT MARKET

The Electronics Sector in India
The Indian electronics industry is one of the most rapidly growing industries worldwide. Electronic products have continuously impacted and shaped our lifestyles in the current digital era. The advent of technology has led to seamless activities and accelerated the digital revolution to the next level. Furthermore, demand for electronic devices is anticipated to rise steadily and continue to be a key economic driver worldwide.

The global electronics industry was estimated at US$ 2.9 trillion in 2020. The Indian government has widely recognised the strategic importance and growth potential of this industry in its National Policy for Electronics (NPE) 2019. NPE was unveiled with a vision to make the country a comprehensive hub for Electronics System Design and Manufacturing (ESDM) by developing a supportive environment for the industry to compete with global peers. Moreover, the ESDM industry is one of the top 25 priority sectors in the government's Make in India initiative; therefore, it is a crucial contributor to economic growth. Indian policymakers have put great emphasis on developing sustainable manufacturing and exports of electronic devices. Overall, electronics manufacturing saw exponential growth to reach US$ 67.3 billion in 2020-21 from US$ 37.1 billion in 2015-16. However, the COVID-19 pandemic caused serious disruptions across the globe, but the industry has shown strong signs of recovery.

India's Vision for Exports and Electronics Manufacturing.

India's Long-term Vision

Make in India for the world
Make India the number one exporter and manufacturer of electronics
Become a substantial player in the global value chain
Build a comprehensive ecosystem of more than US$ 1 trillion in the next decade for mobile phones, consumer electronics and IT hardware

India's Short-term Vision
The government aims to make electronics one of the top three export categories by 2025-26. A US$ 1 trillion digital economy target is projected to boost demand for electronics, which may stand at around US$ 180 billion by 2025-26. If India can accomplish the manufacturing goal of US$ 300 billion for electronics, the local market requirement may be fully met by such manufacturing. The US$ 300 billion target also requires US$ 120 billion of exports in the global market. Global competitiveness with optimum scale would be pivotal in achieving the aforesaid targets. Adequate fiscal measures, along with policy measures, would help in meeting the objectives of NPE 2019
Growing Focus on Electronics Exports
The Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) industry is rapidly advancing, and prominent global leaders and domestic companies see India as an emerging manufacturing and operations hub. A strong component manufacturing foundation is necessary for a sustainable ESDM environment. This segment requires very high operating efficiency to stay profitable. Moreover, the availability of components and an effective supply chain are essential for EMS companies to grow. India, with its strong demographics and skilled employees, has the potential to be one of the leading exporters of electronics in the world. The government is highly focused on reaching the US$ 300 billion electronics production target by 2026. Moreover, the government has emphasised boosting its domestic manufacturing ecosystem to help India be able to withstand supply chain disruptions. The country aims to gain renown as a trusted and reliable partner in the global value chain.

India has clearly drafted its ambition to achieve US$ 120 billion worth of exports by 2026. The electronics sector’s journey has been very interesting. For instance, in 2014, India was highly focused on electronics import. Systematically, the Prime Minister of India, Mr. Narendra Modi, has strengthened the electronics sector over the past few years..
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De-risking China – international companies respond to pressure to ­diversify supply chains.

The world relies heavily on China for its supply chains and access to strategic resources. Whilst the geopolitical risk may be increasing, a complete decoupling is still undesirable for most companies. Faced with mounting pressure to diversify out of China, many foreign companies are therefore exploring alternative de-risking strategies to help with effective supply chain diversification and key-asset distribution.

Over the past two years, foreign companies have experienced ­increasing difficulties in doing business in China due to stringent policies, such as the zero tolerance on COVID and China’s stronger ­inwards focus and push for self-sufficiency. Asset exposure, supply chain disruption and logistics are among the most critical areas impacted by a changing political and business environment.

These factors, and the perception that geopolitical risk has increased in general, have hastened many foreign businesses to re-assess the scale and nature of their China ­operations and to consider ­options for diversification away from China. To face the increasing risk and to find the right position in the Chinese economic eco-system, it is key for international players to understand the underlying political and economic drivers.